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DSCR Sensitivity
Calculator

Baseline scenario
Tax, insurance, HOA, maintenance, mgmt
Principal + Interest only
Current expected vacancy

Why DSCR Sensitivity Matters

A single-point DSCR calculation tells you whether a deal works today. DSCR sensitivity tells you whether it survives a bad year. The difference matters.

Properties that look good at 1.20x DSCR under best-case rent may fall to 0.85x DSCR if rent drops 10% and vacancy doubles. That's the difference between a stable rental and a negative-cash-flow property requiring monthly out-of-pocket support.

DSCR Thresholds

DSCR RangeRisk LevelLender Treatment
1.50x+Very strongBest rates, highest LTV allowed
1.20x-1.49xStrongStandard rates, full LTV
1.00x-1.19xAcceptableHigher rates, LTV adjusted
0.75x-0.99xBelow standardSpecialty programs only, higher rates
Below 0.75xNegative cash flowMost lenders decline

Best practice: target deals that maintain 1.0x+ DSCR in the worst-case scenario, not just baseline.

Common Sensitivity Scenarios To Test

  • 10% rent drop: typical market correction
  • 20% rent drop: serious recession scenario
  • 15% vacancy: high turnover or local market weakness
  • 50% property tax increase over 5 years: common in growing markets
  • Maintenance spike year: roof, HVAC, or other major capex year
  • Insurance premium increase: particularly in coastal/disaster-prone markets

What To Do With Low-DSCR Deals

If your sensitivity analysis shows DSCR falling below 1.0x in adverse scenarios, you have several options:

  • Larger down payment: reduces debt service, improves DSCR
  • Shorter amortization: usually worse, as monthly payments increase
  • Interest-only structure: improves DSCR but principal doesn't reduce
  • Sub-1.0 DSCR specialty programs: some marketplace sources accept DSCR down to 0.75x for the right borrower profile
  • Pass on the deal: if it doesn't cash flow in stress scenarios, the math is asking you to walk away

Frequently Asked Questions

What DSCR do lenders require?

Standard programs require 1.0x minimum DSCR; preferred programs want 1.20x+. Sub-1.0 DSCR programs exist (down to 0.75x) but with higher rates and tighter underwriting. Through our marketplace, we place sub-1.0 deals with specialty capital sources.

How should I stress-test a brand-new rental?

For new acquisitions, use market-average vacancy (often 5-7%) for baseline but stress to 15% for worst-case. Also stress rent down to lowest comparable rent in the area, not your pro forma rent.

Does DSCR include capex reserves?

Lender DSCR calculations typically don't include capex reserves. Your personal stress test SHOULD include reserves of 5-10% of gross rent. A property that cash flows at 1.10x DSCR with no reserves may be break-even or negative once reserves are funded.

How does DSCR change with rent growth?

Annual rent growth (typically 3-5% nationally) improves DSCR over time, all else equal. If property taxes grow at the same rate, DSCR may stay flat. If taxes grow faster than rent (common in hot markets), DSCR can decline over time.

What if a property is currently at 0.90x DSCR but I plan to raise rents?

Lenders may consider pro forma rent if you have signed leases or strong market comps. Most don't — they underwrite to actual rent. If you can't close on actual rent, you may need bridge financing while you raise rents, then refinance to DSCR at the higher rent level.

Need A DSCR Loan With Sub-1.0 Flexibility?

Our marketplace includes specialty capital sources offering DSCR down to 0.75x. Get matched to the right program for your scenario.

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